How Safe is Your Dividend Income?
By: Gregory J. Cook, EA, CPA
As an investor, you buy stock for two
basic reasons. You hope to benefit from any gains in the capital value of the
stock. Or, you want the steady stream of income that stock dividends can
provide. The best of both worlds, of course, is a stock that does both: rises in
value and pays a dividend consistently.
Investors, particularly those on fixed incomes for whom safety of principal is
important, are more likely to buy common stocks that pay dividends. The
potential for regular increases in dividends is attractive when compared to the
fixed-income payments bonds and preferred stocks provide.
If you invest in dividend-paying common stocks, you should exercise caution when
choosing a stock on the basis of an attractively high dividend. Some companies
whose dividends are enticingly high today may not be able to boost those
dividends for a long time. They may even have to cut their dividend if earnings
are off.
What, then, are the criteria you should use in measuring a particular
dividend-paying stock? You want, above all else, to ensure the consistency of
your dividend payments. You also want your dividends to increase on a regular
basis. Moreover, you would like to see that the company you invest in has
reasonable prospects for earnings growth.
There are yardsticks that you can use to give you a better idea of a company's
financial health and its continued ability to pay dividends. While not
foolproof, they will give you a clearer understanding of what to look for in
picking an income stock. When you examine an income stock, you should check if
the company has a record of uninterrupted earnings and dividend growth over the
years. You should examine the company's prospects for future dividends growth.
Be wary where a company pays out as dividends more than it earns.
And look also at the stock's price/earnings (P/E) ratio. The P/E ratio is
essentially a measure of investor confidence in a particular stock. Ask yourself
where the company stands in terms of current earnings and future prospects. How
high or low is the P/E ratio when compared to other stocks in the same industry?
Certain companies have historically performed well on a consistent basis no
matter whether the economy is in a boom or a bust cycle. Utilities have been a
good example. Gas, electric, telephone, and water companies on the whole have
tended to exhibit steady, dependable growth and consistent increases in
dividends. You can measure the credit quality of utility and telephone companies
by checking how they are rated by ratings services such as Moody's and Standard
& Poors.
Many stocks in groups other than utilities pay dividends that increase
regularly. Many Fortune 500 firms show steady, reliable earnings growth and
provide consistent dividends. Industries that provide basic commodities,
products, and services tend to hold their own even during downturns in the
economy. However, even Fortune 500 firms are subject to the swings of a volatile
stock market.
Inflation and high interest rates are other concerns for investors in
dividend-paying stocks. You should know that the prices of income stocks tend to
fall in times of high inflation and high interest rates. However, their
dividends tend to move up in tandem with the level of inflation. In all,
successful investing for income requires time, patience, and good advice.
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